Gwangju 0–1 Incheon United

South Korea K League 1 on 23 August 2026. Incheon United won away from home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 46%, so this one went against the model.

SOUTH KOREA K LEAGUE 1 Sun 23 Aug · 12:30

Gwangju

HOME

RESULT

0 - 1

Incheon United

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

22%

Draw

46%

Away

33%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Gwangju

Last 5 Games

O2.5

20%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

30%

WIN%

20%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

13%

Incheon United

Last 5 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

20%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

30%

WIN%

30%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

33%

WIN%

40%

KEY SIGNALS

Balanced midfield battle expected
Gwangju strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Gwangju O2.5 40% last 15, Incheon United O2.5 33% last 15).

Confidence: 64%

Gwangju 0–1 Incheon United

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