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Marco 1–3 Varzim

Portugal Liga 3 on 25 January 2026. Varzim won away from home, 3–1. Our pre-match analysis made Marco the 48% favourite, so this one went against the model.

PORTUGAL LIGA 3 Sun 25 Jan · 16:00
Marco
HOME
RESULT
1 - 3
Varzim
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
48%
Draw
25%
Away
27%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Marco
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
53%
WIN%
20%
Varzim
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
27%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Marco 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
  • Varzim strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Marco's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.
Confidence: 56%