Merthyr 2–3 Chorley

England National League North on 7 February 2026. Chorley won away from home, 3–2. Our pre-match analysis made Merthyr the 42% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH Sat 7 Feb · 16:00

Merthyr

HOME

RESULT

2 - 3

Chorley

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

42%

Draw

18%

Away

40%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Merthyr

Last 5 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

50%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

73%

WIN%

60%

Chorley

Last 5 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

20%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

50%

WIN%

20%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

53%

WIN%

20%

KEY SIGNALS

Combined recent form shows attacking threat

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Predictive models lean toward goals.

Confidence: 75%

Merthyr 2–3 Chorley

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