Millwall 1–0 Derby County

England Championship on 10 March 2026. Millwall won at home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Millwall the 40% favourite, and that is how it played out.

ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP Tue 10 Mar · 20:45

Millwall

HOME

RESULT

1 - 0

Derby County

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

40%

Draw

22%

Away

38%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Millwall

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

80%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

70%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

60%

Derby County

Last 5 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

60%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

47%

KEY SIGNALS

Millwall 4W in last 5
Derby County 3W in last 5
Millwall 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat
Balanced midfield battle expected

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Millwall's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Millwall's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.

Confidence: 59%

Millwall 1–0 Derby County

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