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Newcastle 3–3 Bournemouth

England FA Cup on 10 January 2026. It finished level at 3–3. Our pre-match analysis made Newcastle the 51% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND FA CUP Sat 10 Jan · 16:00
Newcastle
HOME
RESULT
3 - 3
Bournemouth
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
51%
Draw
18%
Away
31%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Newcastle
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
73%
WIN%
53%
Bournemouth
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
10%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
73%
WIN%
20%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Newcastle 2W in last 3 at home
  • Bournemouth 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Newcastle's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Bournemouth's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 72%