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Portsmouth 0–1 Derby County

England Championship on 16 March 2026. Derby County won away from home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Portsmouth the 45% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP Mon 16 Mar · 21:00
Portsmouth
HOME
RESULT
0 - 1
Derby County
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
45%
Draw
20%
Away
35%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Portsmouth
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
53%
WIN%
33%
Derby County
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
47%
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Portsmouth O2.5 53% last 15, Derby County O2.5 60% last 15).
Confidence: 64%