Stoke 1–2 Middlesbrough

England Championship on 21 January 2026. Middlesbrough won away from home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Stoke the 42% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP Wed 21 Jan · 21:00

Stoke

HOME

RESULT

1 - 2

Middlesbrough

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

42%

Draw

21%

Away

37%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Stoke

Last 5 Games

O2.5

20%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

30%

WIN%

40%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

47%

WIN%

40%

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

50%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

47%

KEY SIGNALS

Stoke 3W in last 5
Balanced midfield battle expected
Stoke strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Stoke's strong recent home form gives them the advantage.

Confidence: 63%

Stoke 1–2 Middlesbrough

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