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Derby County 1–0 Middlesbrough

England Championship on 1 January 2026. Derby County won at home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Derby County the 46% favourite, and that is how it played out.

ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP Thu 1 Jan · 16:00
Derby County
HOME
RESULT
1 - 0
Middlesbrough
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
46%
Draw
21%
Away
33%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Derby County
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
47%
Middlesbrough
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
53%
WIN%
47%
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Derby County O2.5 60% last 15, Middlesbrough O2.5 53% last 15).
Confidence: 63%