Birmingham 1–1 Derby County

England Championship on 26 December 2025. It finished level at 1–1. Our pre-match analysis made Derby County the 43% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP Fri 26 Dec · 13:30

Birmingham

HOME

RESULT

1 - 1

Derby County

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

37%

Draw

20%

Away

43%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Birmingham

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

20%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

40%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

67%

WIN%

33%

Derby County

Last 5 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

20%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

50%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

53%

WIN%

47%

KEY SIGNALS

Birmingham 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Balanced midfield battle expected

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Birmingham's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.

Confidence: 65%

Birmingham 1–1 Derby County

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