Turkiye 1–4 Italy

UEFA Nations League A on 28 September 2026. Italy won away from home, 4–1. Our pre-match analysis made Italy the 39% favourite, and that is how it played out.

UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE A Mon 28 Sep · 20:45

Turkiye

HOME

RESULT

1 - 4

Italy

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

33%

Draw

28%

Away

39%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Turkiye

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

83%

WIN%

50%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

83%

WIN%

50%

Italy

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

90%

WIN%

80%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

93%

WIN%

73%

KEY SIGNALS

Turkiye 2W in last 4 at home
Italy 3W in last 5
Turkiye 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Italy 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat

VERDICT

Both teams expected to find the net.

Italy's strong recent away form makes them dangerous. Italy's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.

Confidence: 56%

Turkiye 1–4 Italy

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