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Germany 0–1 Greece

UEFA Nations League A on 27 September 2026. Greece won away from home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Germany the 69% favourite, so this one went against the model.

UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE A Sun 27 Sep · 20:45
Germany
HOME
RESULT
0 - 1
Greece
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
69%
Draw
19%
Away
12%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Germany
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
90%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
93%
WIN%
53%
Greece
Last 5 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
33%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Germany 2W in last 2 at home
  • Greece 2W in last 3 at away
  • Germany 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Greece 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
VERDICT
Tight encounter with Germany slight edge at home.
Greece's strong recent away form makes them dangerous. Greece's 100% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.
Confidence: 69%