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Spain 4–1 Croatia

UEFA Nations League A on 29 September 2026. Spain won at home, 4–1. Our pre-match analysis made Spain the 73% favourite, and that is how it played out.

UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE A Tue 29 Sep · 20:45
Spain
HOME
RESULT
4 - 1
Croatia
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
73%
Draw
18%
Away
9%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Spain
Last 5 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
93%
WIN%
33%
Croatia
Last 5 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
70%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
93%
WIN%
60%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Croatia 2W in last 2 at away
  • Spain 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Croatia 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
VERDICT
Tight encounter with Spain slight edge at home.
Croatia's strong recent away form makes them dangerous. Croatia's 100% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.
Confidence: 73%