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Wrexham 3–3 Nottingham Forest

England FA Cup on 9 January 2026. It finished level at 3–3. Our pre-match analysis made Wrexham the 59% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND FA CUP Fri 9 Jan · 20:30
Wrexham
HOME
RESULT
3 - 3
Nottingham Forest
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
59%
Draw
19%
Away
22%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Wrexham
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
47%
Nottingham Forest
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
47%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Wrexham 2W in last 2 at home
  • Wrexham 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Wrexham's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Wrexham's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.
Confidence: 64%