Derby County 1–2 Wrexham

England Championship on 4 January 2026. Wrexham won away from home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Derby County the 39% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP Sun 4 Jan · 16:00

Derby County

HOME

RESULT

1 - 2

Wrexham

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

39%

Draw

23%

Away

38%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Derby County

Last 5 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

30%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

53%

Wrexham

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

40%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

40%

KEY SIGNALS

Wrexham 3W in last 5
Wrexham 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat
Balanced midfield battle expected
Derby County strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Wrexham's strong recent away form makes them dangerous. Wrexham's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.

Confidence: 60%

Derby County 1–2 Wrexham

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