Arouca 3–2 Guimaraes

Portugal 1 on 7 February 2026. Arouca won at home, 3–2. Our pre-match analysis made Guimaraes the 41% favourite, so this one went against the model.

PORTUGAL 1 Sat 7 Feb · 21:30

Arouca

HOME

RESULT

3 - 2

Guimaraes

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

41%

Draw

18%

Away

41%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Arouca

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

70%

WIN%

30%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

67%

WIN%

27%

Guimaraes

Last 5 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

50%

WIN%

50%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

53%

WIN%

60%

KEY SIGNALS

Guimaraes 3W in last 5
Arouca 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Guimaraes's strong recent away form makes them dangerous. Arouca's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.

Confidence: 62%

Arouca 3–2 Guimaraes

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