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Mali 1–1 Zambia

Africa Cup of Nations on 22 December 2025. It finished level at 1–1. Our pre-match analysis made Mali the 50% favourite, so this one went against the model.

AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS Mon 22 Dec · 15:00
Mali
HOME
RESULT
1 - 1
Zambia
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
50%
Draw
30%
Away
21%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Mali
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
47%
Zambia
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
10%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
33%
WIN%
27%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Mali 2W in last 2 at home
  • Mali strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Mali's strong recent home form gives them the advantage.
Confidence: 55%