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Southampton 2–1 Derby County

England Championship on 11 April 2026. Southampton won at home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Southampton the 44% favourite, and that is how it played out.

ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP Sat 11 Apr · 16:00
Southampton
HOME
RESULT
2 - 1
Derby County
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
44%
Draw
19%
Away
37%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Southampton
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
100%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
80%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
80%
Derby County
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
60%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Southampton 3W in last 3 at home
  • Derby County 3W in last 5
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Southampton strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
  • Derby County strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Southampton's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 68%