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Sporting L. 2–1 PSG

Champions League on 20 January 2026. Sporting L. won at home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made PSG the 46% favourite, so this one went against the model.

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE Tue 20 Jan · 21:00
Sporting L.
HOME
RESULT
2 - 1
PSG
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
40%
Draw
14%
Away
46%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Sporting L.
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
73%
WIN%
60%
PSG
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
60%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Sporting L. 2W in last 3 at home
  • PSG 3W in last 5
  • Sporting L. 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • PSG 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Sporting L.'s strong recent home form gives them the advantage. PSG's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 72%