Wales 2–1 Norway

UEFA Nations League A on 1 October 2026. Wales won at home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Norway the 59% favourite, so this one went against the model.

UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE A Thu 1 Oct · 20:45

Wales

HOME

RESULT

2 - 1

Norway

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

19%

Draw

23%

Away

59%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Wales

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

56%

WIN%

33%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

56%

WIN%

33%

Norway

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

20%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

70%

WIN%

40%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

47%

KEY SIGNALS

Wales 3W in last 3 at home
Wales 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Norway 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat
Balanced midfield battle expected

VERDICT

Norway look the value pick on the road.

Wales's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Norway's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.

Confidence: 59%

Wales 2–1 Norway

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