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Greece 2–2 Netherlands

UEFA Nations League A on 1 October 2026. It finished level at 2–2. Our pre-match analysis made Netherlands the 45% favourite, so this one went against the model.

UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE A Thu 1 Oct · 20:45
Greece
HOME
RESULT
2 - 2
Netherlands
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
29%
Draw
26%
Away
45%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Greece
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
90%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
93%
WIN%
40%
Netherlands
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
90%
WIN%
20%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
93%
WIN%
20%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Greece 4W in last 5
  • Greece 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Netherlands 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
VERDICT
Both teams expected to find the net.
Greece's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Netherlands's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.
Confidence: 56%