Derby County 1–3 Leeds Utd
England FA Cup on 11 January 2026. Leeds Utd won away from home, 3–1. Our pre-match analysis made Derby County the 45% favourite, so this one went against the model.
ENGLAND FA CUP
Sun 11 Jan · 13:00
Derby County
HOME
RESULT
1 - 3
Leeds Utd
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
Draw
Away
LAST 5
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Derby County
Last 5 Games
O2.5
WIN%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
WIN%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
WIN%
Leeds Utd
Last 5 Games
O2.5
WIN%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
WIN%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
WIN%
KEY SIGNALS
- Balanced midfield battle expected
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Derby County O2.5 67% last 15, Leeds Utd O2.5 67% last 15).
Confidence: 64%