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Preston 0–1 Derby County

England Championship on 17 January 2026. Derby County won away from home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Preston the 41% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP Sat 17 Jan · 16:00
Preston
HOME
RESULT
0 - 1
Derby County
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
41%
Draw
24%
Away
35%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Preston
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Derby County
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
20%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
73%
WIN%
40%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Preston strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Preston O2.5 40% last 15, Derby County O2.5 73% last 15).
Confidence: 61%